Putin announced a unilateral ceasefire for May 9th. Will it hold?
7
αΉ€385
May 28
41%
Generally acknowledged significant reduction in fighting
50%
No significant reduction in fighting
9%
Other

Source: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/28/04/2025/680f63cc9a79477f368be07c

The precise duration is May 8th 00:00 -- May 10th 23:59

Necessary conditions for outcome 1:

  • No long-range strikes from either side

  • No new offensives

  • Post-factum comments from both sides after the ceasefire is over acknowledging a reduction in fighting

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αΉ€1,000
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