Will Conjecture have dissolved by 2028?
Mini
8
Ṁ1392028
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if the for-profit AI alignment org Conjecture has gone bankrupt or otherwise dissolved by 2028.
Resolves no if Conjecture is still around.
Resolves N/A if Conjecture is purchased / does the "reverse OpenAI" and turns itself into a non-profit / etc
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1,000
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