Will there be more than one million new HIV infections globally in 2025?
Mini
2
Ṁ132026
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on WHO data, once it becomes available for 2025: https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/themes/hiv-aids/data-on-the-size-of-the-hiv-aids-epidemic
They estimate 1.5 million new infections in 2021.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
By the start of 2026, will at least 1000 people have been permanently cured of HIV?
20% chance
By the start of 2026, will at least 100 people have been permanently cured of HIV?
35% chance
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
51% chance
Will UNAIDS report that AIDS caused more deaths in 2025 than 2024?
47% chance
Will UNAIDS report that AIDS caused more deaths in 2024 than in 2023?
60% chance
Will an mRNA HIV vaccine pass Phase 2 trials by 2025
21% chance
Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?
38% chance
Will HIV be eradicated in humans before 2030?
5% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
7% chance