Will the 311 hotline in SF receive fewer requests for “street and sidewalk cleaning” in May 2025 than in May 2024?
Mini
2
Ṁ40Aug 31
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there still be a bi-directional center bike lane on Valencia Street in San Francisco at the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will San Francisco in 2025 be significantly safer than in 2022?
83% chance
Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2025 than in 2022
76% chance
Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2030 than in 2022
46% chance
Will the median home sold price in San Francisco be higher in April 2025 than April 2024?
67% chance
Will the SF Medical Examiner's office report fewer deaths due to accidental drug overdose in 2025 than in 2024?
63% chance
Will the SF homelessness rate be <50% of 2022 rate by 2040?
69% chance
Will SF permit more housing units in 2024 than in 2023?
13% chance
Will SF Bay area water have higher microplastic contamination in 2028 than in 2026?
61% chance