MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
Mini
7
Ṁ169
2027
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

#AI
#Culture
#AI Safety
#‍ Celebrities
#Dwarkesh Patel
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
65% chance
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2025?
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
46% chance
Will the Dwarkesh "biggest guest yet" market resolve before 2026?
60% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Bryan Caplan's next graphic novel be a New York Times Bestseller?
71% chance
Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
32% chance
Will JD Vance go on Dwarkesh in 2025?
9% chance
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
45% chance

Related questions

Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
65% chance
Will Bryan Caplan's next graphic novel be a New York Times Bestseller?
71% chance
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2025?
Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
46% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
32% chance
Will the Dwarkesh "biggest guest yet" market resolve before 2026?
60% chance
Will JD Vance go on Dwarkesh in 2025?
9% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
45% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout