MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will xAI stick to their announced release timeline?
6
Ṁ174
2026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if a coding model is demoed by August, a multi-modal (at least text, vision and audio as mentioned in the livestream) agent (tool use) system is demoed by September, and a text to video model is demoed by October

#️ Technology
#AI
#Elon musk
#Technical AI Timelines
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
32% chance
When will xAI release Grok 4?
When will xAI release Grok 4 (or Grok 3.5)
-
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
28% chance
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
23% chance
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
77% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
Will xAI release grok 4.20 ?
19% chance
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
18% chance
xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?
31% chance

Related questions

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
32% chance
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
77% chance
When will xAI release Grok 4?
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
When will xAI release Grok 4 (or Grok 3.5)
-
Will xAI release grok 4.20 ?
19% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
28% chance
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
18% chance
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
23% chance
xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?
31% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout