What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2025?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

By 2025, will Paul Christiano have updated his P(AGI doom) to over 50%?

What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2026?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?

What will be the average P(doom) of AI researchers in 2025?

Will Gary Marcus claim to have a P(doom) of at or higher than 10% at some point before 2027?

Will Eliezer's AI doom market have a higher P(doom) in the third quarter of 2026 than today's (2023-09-27) 21%?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?