Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) | Manifold

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Mini

10

Ṁ178

2100

36%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

The aggregate of 740 Metaculus community forecasters was Feb 14, 2033 on Aug 03, 2023.

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

+4% 1d36% chance

Will we get AGI before 2033?

Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2033?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules