Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) | Manifold

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Plus

13

Ṁ644

2100

71%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

The aggregate of 916 Metaculus community forecasters was Jan 17, 2027 on Aug 03, 2023.

#Technical AI Timelines

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1,000

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