Billionaire Stonks
Billionaire Stonks
Mini
10
Ṁ247
9999
17%
Vitalik Buterin
12%
Jensen Huang
11%
Elon Musk
11%
Dustin Moskovitz
7%
Other
7%
Bill Gates
7%
Warren Buffett
7%
Mark Zuckerberg
4%
Jeff Bezos
4%
Li Ka-shing
3%
Bernard Arnault
3%
Larry Ellison
3%
Larry Page
3%
Michael Bloomberg

Trades on sentiment and never resolves.

More options can be added.

Unranked so it doesn't count for leagues.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.