Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Mini
6
แน1172030
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10880/china-to-invade-taiwan-before-2030/
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
30% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
20% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
40% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025?
6% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
3% chance
DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (Yes) โ Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050
49% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
37% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
50% chance