Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030? | Manifold

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

Mini

7

Ṁ296

2031

20%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024). Including tests. Only count deaths directly related to the explosion within 10 days of the explosion.

#Nathan's Dashboard

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Related questions

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?

Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be used or tested by 2030

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Related questions

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be used or tested by 2030

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules