Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?
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This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that establishes a harbor for AI safety and security collaboration. The policy should allow frontier-model developers to collaborate on AI safety and security work without violating antitrust rules.
Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
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