If a Republican wins the 2024 presidential election, will they order military operations in Mexico?
Mini
13
แน4092029
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Many Republican presidential candidates have proposed using force against cartels in Mexico, but will they do it?
This market will resolve to yes if a Republican wins the 2024 election and orders military or special forces operations against cartels in Mexico during their first term.
This market will resolve to N/A if a Republican does not win the 2024 election.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on a Democrat winning in 2024, will Republicans attempt a coup?
18% chance
If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?
9% chance
Will Mexico become more authoritarian in 2024?
66% chance
Will the US conduct military operations in Mexico by EOY 2025?
20% chance
Will the US conduct any military actions inside of Mexico before 2025?
35% chance
Will the Biden administration attempt to seize control of the Texas National Guard in 2024?
3% chance
Will the U.S. be at war against Mexico by 2027 year end?
5% chance