MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Augur (in 2030) be less than half the size it was in 2020?
Mini
0
2030
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
43% chance
Will avg psychedelics/employee use at OpenAI in 2026 be less than 70% of its use rate in 2025?
63% chance
Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?
55% chance
What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?
Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?
62% chance
Will virtual and augmented reality be as popular in 2060 as smartphones were in 2021?
66% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
28% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
69% chance
Will AR/VR technologies meaningfully influence my life as of 12/31/2030?
69% chance
Will the "Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?" market be above 5% on January 1, 2029 12:00AM EST?
5% chance

Related questions

Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
43% chance
Will virtual and augmented reality be as popular in 2060 as smartphones were in 2021?
66% chance
Will avg psychedelics/employee use at OpenAI in 2026 be less than 70% of its use rate in 2025?
63% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
28% chance
Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?
55% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
69% chance
What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?
Will AR/VR technologies meaningfully influence my life as of 12/31/2030?
69% chance
Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?
62% chance
Will the "Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?" market be above 5% on January 1, 2029 12:00AM EST?
5% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout