Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?

Will "Defining alignment research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will some piece of AI capabilities research done in 2023 or after be net-positive for AI alignment research?

Will "Alignment remains a hard, unsolved problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Alignment will happen by default. What’s next?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

By the end of 2025, which piece of advice will I feel has had the most positive impact on me becoming an effective AI alignment researcher?

Will "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will a paper titled "maximum sparsity reinforcement learning" come out by EOY2027?

Will taking annual MRIs of the smartest alignment researchers turn out alignment-relevant by 2033?

Will ARC's Heuristic Arguments research substantially advance AI alignment before 2027?