What % of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem before 2027?
What % of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem before 2027?
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Ṁ15362027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
0-1%
22%
1-2%
17%
2-5%
16%
5-10%
12%
10-20%
10%
20-50%
5%
>50%
This market duplicates, for 2026, the market
Resolution criteria
This resolution will use AI Digest as its source.
We will resolve to the average of the most recent four months of Gallup polling results as of December 31st 2026 for the percentage of Americans giving answers classified as “advancement of computers/technology” to the question: What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?
If a new category named "AI" or similar is added, we will either take the sum (if we determine there is no overlap in respondents) or the maximum (if we are unable to rule out overlap) between these categories.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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