Will CA redistrict, and what will be the result?
11
Ṁ8332030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
42%
Redistricts // <20 Republicans over three cycles
31%
Redistricts // 20-23 Republicans over three cycles
13%
Redistricts // 24-27 Republicans over three cycles
6%
Redistricts // 28-31 Republicans over three cycles
5%
Redistricts // 32-35 Republicans over three cycles
3%
Redistricts // >35 Republicans over three cycles
0.1%
Does Not Redistrict // <20 Republicans over three cycles
0.1%
Does Not Redistrict // 20-23 Republicans over three cycles
0.1%
Does Not Redistrict // 24-27 Republicans over three cycles
0.1%
Does Not Redistrict // 28-31 Republicans over three cycles
0.1%
Does Not Redistrict // 32-35 Republicans over three cycles
0.1%
Does Not Redistrict // >35 Republicans over three cycles
This asks two questions:
Will CA redistrict, as determined by /zax/will-california-pass-a-midcycle-red
How many times will a Republican party member be elected to a CA seat in the US House of Representatives in total over the course of the 2026, 2028, and 2030 federal elections.
For context, there are currently 9 Republicans, so if this holds constant, there will be 27 over the course of the next three elections.
Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?
84% chance
How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will California lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 4th State Senate district
If Texas redraws any of its districts before 2026, will California redraw any of its districts within 6 month?
90% chance
Virginia redistricting before midterms?
48% chance