Will "The Merge" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?
Mini
7
Ṁ2832030
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of a series of markets realizing a prediction from footnote 7 of this ACX post, regarding the projects in this list.
This market resolves "YES" if the Merge is widely considered to be a scam by 2030.
I will resolve the market according to my judgement, following the principle laid out by Scott: Being a scam "... doesn’t mean they won’t fail, or go down in value, or that you can never write a sentence accusing them of being bad in some way, just that they’re not going to rug-pull anyone or collapse in a way they claimed there was no chance they could do".
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?
Will "Sudoswap" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?
11% chance
Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
25% chance
Will "Soulbound Tokens" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?
16% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
47% chance
"The Merge": Will Ethereum have single-slot finality by 2025-03-06?
17% chance
Will "Arbitrum" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?
9% chance
Will "Across Protocol" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?
8% chance
Will Extropic be found to be fraudulent by 2026?
59% chance
Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?
40% chance