Will an orexin antagonist be the best long term sleeping drug in 2030
Mini
3
Ṁ302030
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Unlikely to be best selling due to pricing and generic alternatives. Would resolve yes if there is a relatively recent meta analysis showing one of the orexin targeting drugs being the best overall vs competition (not just placebo). Should be graded on a multitude of factors for long term use including tolerance, effectiveness and side effects.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a technology exist by 2030 that will cure insomnia?
33% chance
Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep you need by 2040?
45% chance
Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?
57% chance
Will an intervention be found by 2045 that reduces the amount of sleep needed in order to function by at least 25%?
35% chance
Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
26% chance
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
37% chance
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
66% chance
Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?
85% chance
Affordable weight loss drugs before 2030?
76% chance
Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
29% chance