Resolves as per:

https://insightprediction.com/m/243620/will-black-students-be-less-than-10-of-the-ivy-league-class-of-2028?i=Richard&utm_source=R1

For this market, we will consider only the percentage of Black or African-American students in the incoming class of 2028 at Harvard, Princeton, Yale, and Columbia using statistics publicly reported from these universities or affiliated agencies. If any of these schools do not report the percentage of Black or African-American students in the next freshman class, they will be dropped from the average. If none are reported, then this market will resolve to "Yes".

For reference, we found the following statistics for the share of Black / African-American students in the Class of 2027:

Harvard: 14.1%

Columbia: 20.0%

Yale: 14%

Princeton: 9%

We will take the individual percentages to the nearest whole number from all schools with available data, and take the average, rounding the final result to the nearest tenth of a percent. For the reference case, this would be e.g. 14.3%.

(Please don't read my choice to replicate this market as tacit support for either side of the culture war, I just thought it was an interesting market to consider the impact of policy changes)