Will Nvidia report gross margins lower than 60% in any year by 2028?
Will Nvidia report gross margins lower than 60% in any year by 2028?
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Resolves Yes if Nvidia's GAAP gross margin falls below 60%, as determined by the average of any 4 consecutive quarters up to the 4Q28 reporting, else No.
As of 4Q23 reporting the gross margin is currently 72.7% for the previous year.
I will resolve N/A if this metric is unavailable or if Nvidia is structurally dissimilar (e.g. acquired).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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