If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? | Manifold

If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

Plus

14

Ṁ1029

2029

1D

1W

1M

ALL

57%

Raphael Warnock

56%

Josh Shapiro

55%

Tim Walz

55%

Gretchen Whitmer

55%

Dwayne Johnson

53%

Jon Stewart

50%

Cory Booker

50%

Chuck Schumer

50%

Hakeem Jeffries

50%

Stacey Abrams

50%

Beto O'Rourke

49%

Mark Cuban

48%

Gavin Newsom

45%

John Fetterman

45%

Michelle Obama

42%

Pete Buttigieg

37%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

37%

Andrew Yang

35%

Sam Altman

31%

Kamala Harris

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Democratic Party

#2028 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

1.00

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