Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?
Mini
4
Ṁ87Dec 30
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a solar storm causes a confirmed internet outage lasting over 24 hours in any of these cities: Tokyo, Jakarta, Delhi, Seoul, Shanghai, Manila, São Paulo, Beijing, Mexico City, or New York City, before December 31, 2025. It resolves to 'No' if no such outage occurs due to a solar storm in these cities by the end date. Confirmation from reliable news sources, governmental reports, or major internet service providers is required.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the 2025 European power outage be attributed to sabotage by May 25, 2025?
6% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 24 hours occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 1 hour occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 5 minutes occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
47% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
38% chance
Will a solar flare hit Earth within the next 5 years and cause widespread global disruption?
14% chance
Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
32% chance
Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?
15% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025 again (after mid Jan power outages)?
71% chance