Will the Welch-Manchin amendment for Supreme Court term limits pass either house of Congress in any form by Feb 1, 2025?
Mini
7
แน160Feb 2
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Either the House or the Senate would have to pass of any sort of constitutional amendment reforming Supreme Court terms - and that would be sufficient to resolve this YES. We haven't had a constitutional amendment since 1992, so I made the criteria really lenient.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
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1,000
and1.00
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