Will the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
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Ṁ322100
36%
chance
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1M
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Beijing Loach, a newly discovered species, that is not evaluated by the IUCN yet. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Beijing Loach persists.
For more information about the species, see:
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202502/1329254.shtml
For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction of the species:
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