Will the wild population of the Brown Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct by 2100?
6
Ṁ6162100
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Brown Rat. It will resolve YES, if the Brown Rat is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Brown Rat persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about full extinction risk, including captive individuals:
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the wild population of the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct by 2100?
6% chance
Will the wild population of the Vaquita (Phocoena sinus) become extinct by 2100?
94% chance
Will the Brown Rat, a.k.a. Common Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct in the current century?
1% chance
Will the wild population of the African Forest Elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis) become extinct by 2100?
67% chance
Will the House Rat, a.k.a. Black Rat (Rattus rattus) become extinct in the current century?
4% chance
Will the wild population of the Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) become extinct by 2100?
87% chance
Will the wild population of the Azure-thighed Tree Frog (Litoria azuroscelis) become extinct by 2100?
47% chance
Will the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct by 2100?
72% chance
Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance
Will the House Mouse (Mus musculus) become extinct in the current century?
2% chance