This market resolves based on whether active military conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues through December 31st, 2025. Resolution will be based on reputable news sources (BBC, Reuters, AP) reporting ongoing military operations, casualties, or territorial changes.

References:

• https://dsm.forecastinternational.com/2025/01/03/this-week-in-the-russia-ukraine-war-january-3/

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine_(2022%E2%80%93present)

• https://www.kyivpost.com/thread/44925