Will the Wyoming Toad, aka Baxter's Toad (Anaxyrus baxteri) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the Wyoming Toad, aka Baxter's Toad (Anaxyrus baxteri) become extinct in the current century?

Mini

2

Ṁ109

2099

24%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The Wyoming Toad is a rare species of toad that only exists in Wyoming, United States. In the 1980's the species was believed to be extinct, but was later rediscoverd and survived due to a breeding progam in captivity. Wyoming toads are currently released to the wild again. This market will resolve YES if the Wyoming Toad is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wyoming_toad

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Extinct in the Wild

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/54583/118976576

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:

https://manifold.markets/ExtinctionRisk?tab=questions

#Extinction Risk

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bought Ṁ10 NO

https://wyofile.com/wyoming-toads-new-home-key-to-their-recovery/

https://defenders.org/blog/2024/02/wyoming-toad-leaping-toward-recovery

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