Will there be a company larger than the US Government by 2040?
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Resolves Yes if there is a company on earth that collects more revenue (in US dollars) than the US federal government in a calendar year by 2040.

 

In 2023, the US federal government’s revenue was 4.44 trillion, and the world’s largest company be revenue, Walmart, did 639 Billion.

 

Some interesting statistics here:

https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/government-revenue/

https://companiesmarketcap.com/largest-companies-by-revenue/

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