Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
22
Ṁ2921
2026
17%
chance

https://techcrunch.com/2025/03/13/openai-calls-deepseek-state-controlled-calls-for-bans-on-prc-produced-models/

OpenAI has called for the US to ban AI models produced in China, claiming that they have security risks and could lead to intellectual property theft. Will the US government do so in 2025?

To resolve YES, the US needs to do something that

  • Affects the general population (not just government employees)

  • Targets DeepSeek, or any other tech company based in China, or China as a whole

  • Bans either raw models or APIs (or both)

  • Issued before the end of 2025 (does not need to take effect)

Resolves NO if such a ban is not issued before the end of 2025.

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