Will Elon Musk or representatives publicly argue that their voter incentives are legal under U.S. sweepstakes laws?
Mini
4
Ṁ124Jan 20
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
Timing: Argument must be made publicly by Musk or PAC representatives before the 2025 presidential inauguration.
Content: The argument must explicitly reference compliance with U.S. sweepstakes laws as justification of legality.
Verification: Statements must be documented in reliable public sources (e.g., interviews, social media, press releases).
Representative: Includes Elon Musk himself or any official spokesperson or legal representative of America PAC.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Elon Musk's America PAC: Will the paid incentives be ruled illegal?
15% chance
Will Elon Musk pay out the $100 as promised for the America PAC petition?
73% chance
Will Elon Musk’s Tesla pay package ruling survive appeal?
26% chance
Will Elon Musk be charged with vote buying or election bribery?
16% chance
Will any of Elon Musk's companies be charged with fraud by the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?
13% chance
Will any of Elon Musk's companies be charged with fraud by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Elon Musk run for elected government office this decade?
32% chance
Will Elon Musk publicly call into question the results of the election in a tweet by the end of the year?
8% chance
If shareholders vote to ratify Elon Musk’s 2018 pay package, will the courts strike it down again (by the end of 2025)?
22% chance