Radiohead's last studio album, A Moon Shaped Pool, released on May 8, 2016, nearly 8 years ago as of time of writing. However, the group's individual members –most notably Thom Yorke and Jonny Greenwood– have released material since then outside of the confines of the band. Nevertheless, Radiohead, who are seemingly more popular than ever, still haven't given any indication they plan to reunite. Will we see a new original Radiohead studio album before May 8 2026, the ten year anniversary of A Moon Shaped Pool?

Clarifications:
The Market does not resolve 'Yes' on word of a new album, but rather the release of said record. If we hear that the band has reunited and is working on a new project, it must release before the resolution date.

The album must be a new original studio record, not a re-release, remix, or unveiling of archival material. For example, the Kid Amnesiac record, despite containing previously unheard material, would not count. Barring incredible creative circumstances, the album must be made up of new material recorded since A Moon Shaped Pool.

The album must be released under the Radiohead name. Even if a quasi Radiohead reunion occurred on a The Smile album, the question would not resolve No if no material under the Radiohead moniker.

A single or EP will not count (the EP vs Album distinction to be determined by what the band describes the project as).