Will we get another high quality data point on Ball Lightning by 2030?
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3
Ṁ39
2030
68%
chance

High quality is defined loosely as "At least as good as the 2014 video from china" (https://www.livescience.com/42732-ball-lightning-video.html) although it doesn't have to be a video + visual light spectrum: for example, "unusually reputable eye witness account of ball going through wall + audio recording" or "low resolution security camera footage + high quality examination of aftermath" or "high resolution cell phone footage" would all count.

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