Will the Norwegian government have a Minister with ~AI in the title Jan 1 2026?
Will the Norwegian government have a Minister with ~AI in the title Jan 1 2026?
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ1091
2026
13%
chance

Norway is rumored to get a Minister for Digitalisation and Artificial Intelligence in the next few days. Regardless of whether they get one now, will they have one after the next election?

Has to be a part of the name (in some way or another, see below), not enough to have it as part of the strategy/responsibilities.

Note that there will be an election in September 2025.

I won't bet in this market, as resolution might get tricky.

Accepted terms would be stuff in the spirit of...
Norwegian:

  1. Statsråd for Kunstig Intelligens

  2. Statsråd for Digitalisering og Kunstig Intelligens

  3. Statsråd for AI-utvikling

  4. Statsråd for AI-strategi

  5. Statsråd for Teknologi og Kunstig Intelligens

English:

  1. Minister of Artificial Intelligence

  2. Minister of Digitalization and Artificial Intelligence

  3. Minister of AI Development

  4. Minister of AI Strategy

  5. Minister of Technology and Artificial Intelligence

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.