By the end of 2025, will I know about megagame/wargame, which used prediction markets?
2
Ṁ15Dec 30
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By the end of 2025, will I know about civil megagame/wargame, which used prediction markets as a source for action success probability or for simulating NPC actions?
Resolves No by default, Resolves yes if I find an article/video of such an event.
Military/secret service simulations do not count.
Games in virtual space/internet do not count, only in person event.
Game includes 20+ people including staff.
Could have happened before the market creation.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
50% chance
Will a Wall St firm use prediction markets as an investment vehicle by July 14 2025
73% chance
Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2025)
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?
9% chance
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
38% chance
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
When will the total market capitalization of prediction markets exceed 1 trillion USD?
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]
16% chance