Will another organization surpass OpenAI in the public sphere of awareness of AI progress by the end of 2024?
Plus
29
Ṁ2788Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves very subjectivly based on whether it seems to be like some other company has become more well-known for their AI products.
(Has to be a company that isn't using OpenAI's products, so Microsoft doesn't count. And the fame needs to be about their AI products, so something like Google wouldn't count just because they have a popular search engine.)
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI exist as an independent entity by 2025?
92% chance
Will OpenAI be involved in a major scandal before 2025?
11% chance
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before December 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M boost added]
39% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will general consensus be that OpenAI is no longer the lead AI company by end of 2024?
17% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
19% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
33% chance
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
7% chance
Will xAI overtake OpenAI as the leader in AI research by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
44% chance