What will Ding Liren's score be in the 2024 World Chess Championship before tiebreakers?
💎
Premium
47
Ṁ150k
resolved Dec 12
100%98.8%
0.0%
0
0.0%
½
0.0%
1
0.0%
0.0%
2
0.0%
0.0%
3
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
6
0.2%
7 (tie)
0.1%
0.1%
8

The base match is best of 14 between Ding Liren and Dommaraju Gukesh (Gukesh D).

The rest of the games are not played if a player has at least a 7½.

Resolves N/A if Ding Liren does not defend his title or the match does not happen.

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@creator please resolve to 6.5

bought Ṁ50 6 YES

Bought some 6. Ding has to push hard and loses another seems likely

bought Ṁ750 6 NO

Here's all 21 possible scenarios for the final 3 games https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/exact-result-of-games-12-13-14-in-w

The players are currently tied at 4½ points with 5 games to go.

Starts November 25th btw.

Note that a loss is worth 0, a draw is worth 1/2, and a win is worth 1.