What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
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Plus
348
Ṁ390k
Nov 19
98%
They tried to kill me (or any variation)
96%
the worst
96%
Terrific guy
92%
Love(s) Trump
92%
Disgrace(ful)
91%
bogus
90%
…the likes of which have never been seen
89%
my black
79%
Among us
72%
many such cases
67%
Failed attempt(s)
60%
We need to finish what we started
44%
My friend Elon
42%
(any of the 24 Greek letters)
33%
bulletproof glass
32%
Haters and losers
31%
That's what she said
22%
Make America Great Again Again
11%
Alpha
11%
confederacy/confederate

Any word or phrase that Donald Trump says or writes will resolve yes. However proof must be in the comments. If I see something I will post the proof, but I won't go out of my way to find every speech he did to find something. IF you are adding a word or phrase and you want multiple things to count please put a slash between the words. If there is legislation he "Wrote" I will probably not count it unless their is evidence he actually wrote it. The writing is more for truth social and less for legislation. I will wait two weeks after the election to let people try and find proof of him saying something.

He must say it after April 7.

I reserve the right to N/A answers at my discretion. I will do this for troll answers that will obviously resolve yes

Answers to double check

Unbelievable

Believe me

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It seems as if the resolution of this market put my balance from -91K to -169K? It’s just about the only thing in my balance log since yesterday… it’s unexpected to me since nigh all my predictions here were right, unless I’m missing some huge loan being paid back here or elsewhere, seems like a bug

@JoshuaB I forwarded this issue to the team. It looks like it was caused by loans being turned back on.

Basically, the system 'paid back' your 5700 mana loan that you have against the whole market....for each and every answer that resolved.

I reviewed every unresolved answer and searched the comment section for them. I left comments where I found proof to resolve Yes. I'm bringing together the lingering details in one place to hash out the final resolutions.

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Key factors affecting resolution decisions:

  • Respecting the creator's intent that the words need to be exact

  • Respecting the creator's intent that HE needs to write/say it

  • The proof has to be in the comments before "two weeks after the election" (most of the latest round of submissions were made on 18 November, which is just inside the window)

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Numerous answers resolved Yes, some were borderline:

  • "left wing fascism" - the quote was from a few days before the answer was added (I resolved it Yes but I will correct it to No.....)

  • "disgrace(ful)" - the quote was from before the answer was added

  • "bogus" - the quote was from before the answer was added

I'm going to say none of these qualified for a Yes resolution because it would have been trivial and pointless, but they could have all seen new proof later on. No one seems to have shown additional proof for these.

  • "they tried to kill me (or any variation)" - It needs to be exact! This is not even close. The description says to put different versions with a slash. This is too far away from being close to count for the purposes of the market because the spirit of the market is the text needs to match exactly or extremely closely.

  • "among us" - This is a social media post but it is explicitly quoting another source. In the spirit of "he has to write it", I would not resolve Yes based on this.

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As it stands, I think all the borderline ones listed above, and every other answer not already resolved Yes would resolve No.

Don't try to add NEW EVIDENCE, but if you can show using the existing comment section that some answer would resolve Yes, try your best. I'll come back to this market in a day or two and resolve everything else No.

Seems like @JamesF is MIA. Anybody know how we get the mods to resolve this market?

@Qoiuoiuoiu Which one(s) should resolve, do you have the proof?

@Eliza Comments below have links and everything, I can paste them up here if that would make it easier

@Qoiuoiuoiu Alright, the market criteria clearly state that the evidence must be in the comment section. I will do as many as I see. The others should resolve No?

@JamesF resolve please?

@mods resolve? creator's account page says mods can resolve

bought Ṁ300 Answer #1468df2eede2 YES

@Mana Confirmed, resolving Yes.

bought Ṁ200 Answer #2PsUS6Ogcd YES

@JasonThomas The written text says this specifically, and the description says posts online by 'him' count, so I'll resolve that one Yes.

@Qoiuoiuoiu Alright, resolves Yes.

@Qoiuoiuoiu Nice catch. Well played.

bought Ṁ1,650 Answer #bxfkwsrxwx YES

@Qoiuoiuoiu @JamesF This looks pretty clear cut to me.

@Kraalnaxx I’m worried that the answer says it was added 5 months ago but the speech is from May 25. Dunno how to check the exact date

bought Ṁ5 Answer #bxfkwsrxwx NO

@JoshuaB @Kraalnaxx @JamesF
Graph indicates added 31 May. Can hover on each day so not more than a day different from this.

@JoshuaB "He must say it after April 7."

@Qoiuoiuoiu I'm resolving Yes, the date is after April 7. The market description doesn't say it has to be added before he says it.

I've reconsidered after seeing some other answers like this, see my other comment at the top shortly.