Which organism will the first released or escaped gene drive target?
Mini
8
Ṁ1792040
1D
1W
1M
ALL
43%
Mosquito
2%
Human
8%
Screwworm
3%
Plant
3%
Fungus
15%
Fruit fly
8%
Fish
18%
The categories here range in their breadth. Feel free to post new, interesting responses but keep them mutually exclusive. I will probably remove new categories that overlap with old ones. I'll resolve to the category that the first organism modified with a gene drive which escaped to the wild falls under, as far as we know, once we know of such an instance. I'll resolve one year after this was found if there is no significant ambiguity. If significant evidence only emerges after a year that there was an earlier escaped gene drive, I won't correct the resolution.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild?
Will gene-drives be used to control an introduced animal species population by 2030?
55% chance
Will any CRISPR based gene drive be released in the wild by 1/1/2026?
25% chance
Will DIY Gene Drive happen?
34% chance
Will a gene drive for making humans more peaceful be released by the start of 2040?
7% chance