How many games will Gukesh D WIN in the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?
➕
Plus
24
Ṁ16k
resolved Dec 12
100%98%
3
0.2%
0
0.2%
1
1.2%
2
0.2%
4
0.2%
5
0.2%
6 or more

How many games will Gukesh D win against Ding Liren? This high-stakes match is provisionally scheduled between November 20 and December 15, 2024

Ding Liren:

- Current World Champion

- Peak FIDE Rating: 2816

- Known for his solid, strategic play and resilience in tough positions.

Gukesh D:

- Young prodigy and rising star

- Peak FIDE Rating: 2763

- Renowned for his aggressive and dynamic style.

There are 14 classical games slated. Betting will stop after the penultimate game, and before the last classical game begins, or Gukesh successfully wins at least 6 games.

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Ding wins game 12!

Current score

  • Ding: 2 wins

  • Gukesh: 2 wins

Games left: 2

Here's all 21 possible scenarios for the final 3 games https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/exact-result-of-games-12-13-14-in-w

Gukesh wins game 11!

Current score

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 2 wins

Games left: 3

Game 10 is a draw

Current score:

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 4

Game 9 is a draw

Current score:

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 5

Game 8 is a draw

Current score:

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 6

Game 7 is a draw

Current score:

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 7

Game 6 is a draw

Current score:

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 8

Game 5 is a draw

Current score:

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 9

Game 4 is a draw

Current score:

  • Ding: 1 win

  • Gukesh: 1 win

Games left: 10

Gukesh wins game 3!

Current score: Ding 1.5 - Gukesh 1.5

Games left: 11

Game 2 is a draw :)

Current score: Ding 1.5 - Gukesh 0.5

Games left: 12

Ding wins game 1!

Current score: Ding 1 - Gukesh 0
Games left: 13

Right now, both markets predict the most likely outcome is 3-0 Gukesh over Ding. Interesting.

@JohnCarpenter update. 2-0 Gukesh