Conditional on being elected president, will Ron DeSantis be charged with any felony crime before 2030? | Manifold

Conditional on being elected president, will Ron DeSantis be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Mini

3

Ṁ111

2030

18%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

N/A if DeSantis is not elected. Otherwise resolves the same as the unconditional version:

Probably the conditional is significantly higher because it increases the motivation of DAs who have a lot of discretion.

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1,000

and

1.00

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