Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?
Mini
6
Ṁ1382030
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if:
1. there is a global ban on AI training runs larger than some threshold
OR
2. AI alignment is solved
OR
3. there is a large decline in humanity's capacity to make GPUs
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
11% chance
Will humans wipe out AI by 2030?
6% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
3% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
8% chance
Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?
82% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
14% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?
12% chance
If humanity goes extinct by 2030, will AI unwipe out humanity by 2040?
42% chance