China invades Taiwan vs China lands on the Moon ; Before 2030
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7
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15%
China invades Taiwan ; China lands on the Moon
17%
China invades Taiwan ; China doesn't land on the Moon
45%
China doesn't invade Taiwan ; China lands on the Moon
22%
China doesn't invade Taiwan ; China doesn't land on the Moon
Before 2030, not including it.
-Invades the main island of Taiwan. If there is a lack of clarity it should resolve according to the largest applicable 'China invades Taiwan' market on Manifold at the time.
-Crewed landing. Crew must leave the lander and walk on the surface.
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