MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
Mini
12
แน€811
2040
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves when either party has Martian soil/rock samples in their possession on Earth.

Resolves NA if either party completes a human Mars mission.

June 2024 update: clarifying that if Europe is not involved this question can still resolve NO if the US alone is successful.

#Space
#Science
#United States
#Europe
#Space exploration
#๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
#Mars
Get
แน€1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will China beat the USA to Mars?
+5% 1d37% chance
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
57% chance
Will NASA bring back Mars samples to Earth before China?
35% chance
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Will China complete a successful manned mission to the lunar surface by the end of 2026?
8% chance
Will China land men on the moon before the USA?
58% chance
Will China land an astronaut on Mars before the USA does?
25% chance
Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?
46% chance
When will China next land a rover on Mars?
Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?
24% chance

Related questions

Will China beat the USA to Mars?
37% chance
Will China land men on the moon before the USA?
58% chance
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
57% chance
Will China land an astronaut on Mars before the USA does?
25% chance
Will NASA bring back Mars samples to Earth before China?
35% chance
Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?
46% chance
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
When will China next land a rover on Mars?
Will China complete a successful manned mission to the lunar surface by the end of 2026?
8% chance
Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?
24% chance
Terms & Conditionsโ€ขPrivacy Policyโ€ขSweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout