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Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023?
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6
Ṁ79
Nov 6
65%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL

According to https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/deaths-in-state-based-conflicts-by-region?tab=table&time=2021..latest. Resolves when the data is available there.

Deaths in state-based conflicts by region
Interstate, intrastate, and extrasystemic conflicts that cause at least 25 deaths during a year. Deaths of combatants and civilians due to fighting.
#World
#️ Wars
#Global Macro
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