MANIFOLD
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In what year will Manifold discover product-market fit?
Mini
4
Ṁ60
2031
2025
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolution criteria: I'll ask Manifold, or as soon as it becomes extremely obvious to me that they've found something that a non-trivial amount of people are willing to pay non-trivial amounts of money for on a recurring basis.

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Will Manifold be acquired by a Fortune 500 company before 2026?
5% chance
When will Manifold go through series A?
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Which company net worth milestones will Manifold achieve before 2028?
Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Manifold achieve break-even profitability in 2025?
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