Will ""Carefully Bootstrapped Alignment" is organiz..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Mini
2
Ṁ85Feb 1
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post "Carefully Bootstrapped Alignment" is organizationally hard is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will ""Carefully Bootstrapped Alignment" is organiz..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "AI alignment researchers don't (seem to) stack
" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Model Organisms of Misalignment: The Case for..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance