Will "Conjecture internal survey: AGI timelines and..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Conjecture internal survey: AGI timelines and probability of human extinction from advanced AI is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
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