Will "grey goo is unlikely" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Mini
2
Ṁ38Feb 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post grey goo is unlikely is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "My views on “doom”" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "AI: Practical Advice for the Worried" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
40% chance
Will "re: Yudkowsky on biological materials" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "The basic reasons I expect AGI ruin" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "On green" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
81% chance
Will "Dark Forest Theories" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "I still think it's very unlikely we're observ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance